DEPARTMENT OF FINANCE, REAL ESTATE & LAW
FINANCE 450: SECURITY ANALYSIS
Fall 2005
Section 1
Tuesday & Thursday Afternoons, 12:30 1:45 CBA 235
Section 2
Thursday Evenings, 7:00 9:45 CBA 124
Instructor: Peter A. Ammermann, Ph.D.
Office: CBA 328
Phone: (562) 985-7526
E-mail: pammerma@csulb.edu
Website: http://www.csulb.edu/~pammerma
Office Hours:
My official office hours are listed in the following
table. Additional office hours are
available by appointment.
|
Monday |
Tuesday |
Wednesday |
Thursday |
Friday |
|
|
2:00 3:15 7:00 7:30 |
|
2:00 3:15 (alternate weeks) 6:20 6:50 |
|
Course Description and Objective:
This
course could best be described as a course in Perspectives on Security
Analysis. As such, it provides an in-depth discussion of investment and
portfolio analysis, providing a combination of theoretical and practical
knowledge, although the larger emphasis will actually be placed on analysis at
the portfolio level. The course will be
divided into the following components:
i. Introduction
I. The
EMH and Behavioral Finance
II. Portfolio
Theory and Quantitative Investment Analysis
III. Portfolio
Construction and Performance Assessment
IV. Security
Valuation and Fundamental Analysis
V. Bond
Analysis and Bond Portfolio Management
Using
these building blocks, the students are expected to gain an advanced
understanding of the investment process, which they must apply to a simulated,
group-managed portfolio that satisfies a specific risk-return objective. Furthermore, the students must develop their
empirical skills to apply investment models and techniques. Students are expected to apply investment
knowledge and relevant financial models taught in class to complete each
assignment. The instruction method used
for the course is lecture and group projects, together with in-class
presentations. The learning experience
should be interactive rather than passive.
Required Texts:
1. Investment
Analysis and Portfolio Management, 7th Ed., by Frank K. Reilly and Keith C.
Brown, The Dryden Press
2. The
Inefficient Stock Market: What Pays Off and Why, 2nd Ed.,
by Robert A. Haugen, Prentice Hall
Optional Text:
1. The
Intelligent Investor, Revised Edition, by Benjamin Graham, updated
with new commentary by Jason Zweig
Some
Other Recommended
One Up On Wall Street and Beating the Street, by Peter Lynch; The
New Buffettology, by Mary Buffett and David Clark;
The Warren Buffett
Way and The Warren Buffett Portfolio, by Robert G. Hagstrom;
Value Investing: From Graham to Buffett and
Beyond, by Bruce C.N. Greenwald, et al;
John Neff on Investing, by John
Neff; Buffett: The Making of
an American Capitalist and When Genius Failed by Roger
Lowenstein; Fischer Black
and the Revolutionary Idea of Finance, by Perry Mehrling;
Capital Ideas, by Peter Bernstein; The (Mis)Behaviour of Markets: A
Fractal View of Risk, Ruin and Reward, by Benoit B. Mandelbrot and Richard
L. Hudson; A Random Walk Down Wall Street, by Burton Malkiel; Common Stocks and Uncommon Profits, by Philip Fisher; Technical
Analysis Explained and Investor Psychology Explained by Martin J.
Pring; and Practical Speculation by Victor Niederhoffer and Laurel Kenner
Recommended
Computer Skills:
Microsoft
Applications: Word, PowerPoint, and Excel
Any statistical / regression software
package, such as Minitab, SPSS, the Regression toolkit in Excel, and / or the
analytical tools of the Bloomberg Professional Service
Prerequisites:
FIN 350 (Note that this class also relies on material from IS 310, which
is a co-requisite for FIN 300)
Class
Procedures:
1.
Your
success in this class will have a direct relationship to the amount of reading
and preparation you do. The lectures and exercises will concentrate
on the major and more difficult concepts involved in the text. If you have read over and familiarized
yourself with the assigned chapter prior to lecture, your understanding of the
discussion will be greatly enhanced.
2. Participation in class is a necessity and
will contribute to your grade.
3. In addition to the lectures, an
integrated group portfolio project will be an important part of the learning
process for this course. As part of this
project, you will be part of a group that will maintain a simulated
portfolio. This will give you the
opportunity to apply, in a virtual setting, many of the topics covered in the
lectures. This will lead to a better
understanding of the intricacies, complications, and rewards of investment and
portfolio analysis and the investment process.
Portfolio updates must be presented to the class on a regular basis. Groups for this project must be chosen by the
end of the first week of class. Note
that other homework assignments will also be completed as part of this
group.
4. In general, the use of the Internet will
be an integral part of the course, and information from various financial
websites will be drawn upon for both in-class discussion and outside
assignments.
5. For in-class discussion, knowledge of
current business news will be assumed and drawn upon. Thus, frequent reading of financial magazines
and newspapers, reading of financial websites, and viewing of financial news
programs is strongly recommended.
6. Some of the material covered will be
complicated. If, after reviewing the
material, you find you still dont understand it, please take advantage of
office hours, and ask!!
8. The tests will contain numerous
quantitative problems. It is recommended
that you attempt to work through some of the end-of-chapter problems after each
chapter is covered and in preparation for the tests. Answers will be provided to those students
who attempt to work such problems.
9. The university policy on academic
dishonesty will be strictly followed.
10. It is the students responsibility to
notify me in advance of the need for accommodation of a disability or of the
expected dates of predictable excused absences (e.g., track meets).
11. It is the students responsibility to
make up any assignments that are missed due to excused absences.
Planned
Performance Evaluation:
|
Component |
Percentage |
|
Test #1 |
20 |
|
Test #2 |
20 |
|
Integrated Portfolio Project & Group Homework Assignments |
20 |
|
Journal Article Summary Reports |
5 |
|
Quizzes & Participation |
5 |
|
Final Exam |
30 |
|
Total |
100 |
Grades will be assigned on the following
scale:
A = 4.0
B = 3.0
C = 2.0
D = 1.0
F
= 0.0
Performance
Evaluation (Cont.):
1.
Letter
grades will be assigned based upon the ranges of actual component
outcomes.
2.
Each
exam will include some combination of conceptual and problem-solving questions.
3.
Test #1 is tentatively planned for Thursday of the 6th
week of class.
4.
Test #2 is tentatively planned for Thursday of the 12th
week of class.
5.
The relative weights for the two mid-term exams will be
assigned in accordance with the students relative performance on these two
exams.
6. The
final exam will be comprehensive.
Tentative
Topic Outline and Schedule (will likely be altered as the term progresses):
|
Weeks |
Topic
/ |
Assignments (Partial
Listing) |
|
Introduction
Historical Perspective |
||
|
1 2 |
Historical Perspective (Haugen, Ch. 1,
R&B, Ch. 3, pp. 90-99, and Warren Buffett:
Oracle of Omaha) |
Economic and Capital Market Outlook |
|
I.
The EMH and Behavioral Finance |
||
|
3 4 |
The Efficient Market Hypothesis ( Mauboussin
(Shift Happens) Rubinstein (Rational Markets: Yes or
No?) Behavioral Finance (Mind
Over Markets) Mauboussin
(What have you learned in the last two seconds?) |
Portfolio
Objectives and Strategy |
|
II.
Portfolio Theory and Quantitative Investment Analysis |
||
|
5 8 |
Introduction to Portfolio Management ( Introduction to Asset-Pricing Models ( Multi-Factor Models of Risk and Return ( "Estimating Expected Return with the
Theories of Modern Finance" ( Haugen, Part I: "What Pays Off" |
Test #1 Beta / Correlation Estimation Two-Stock Portfolio Possibilities Curve
Estimation |
|
III.
Portfolio Construction and Performance Assessment |
||
|
9
11 |
Equity Portfolio Management Strategies
( Evaluation of Portfolio Performance ( Videotape: Trillion Dollar Bet |
|
|
IV.
Security Valuation and Fundamental Analysis |
||
|
12
13 |
Introduction to Security Valuation ( Industry Analysis ( Company Analysis and Stock Selection ( Graham ( |
Test #2 Industry Assessments Comparative Company
Evaluations |
|
V.
Bond Analysis and Bond Portfolio Management |
||
|
14 |
The Analysis and
Valuation of Bonds ( Bond Portfolio Management ( |
|
|
VI.
Conclusions |
||
|
15 |
"The Wrong 20-Yard Line" ( |
Final Portfolio Report Binders Due |
Note 1 Prior
Background: Knowledge of basic concepts of investments and the time value of money
will be assumed, as well as basic concepts of statistics.
Note 2 Changing of Schedule: The contents of this syllabus may be subject to change if circumstances require. If such changes do occur, they will be announced in class.
Note 3 Add-Drop
Policy: Adding or dropping/withdrawing
from a class should comply with the University and