VOL. LIV, NO. 27
California State University, Long Beach October 15, 2003
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. News  
 

Numbers show different side of tax cuts

Chris Dennis
Marshall Medoff

Jason Garthoffner (Daily Forty-Niner, Oct. 1) deserves a prominent position in the Bush administration. He has done a fine job disguising tax cuts that give almost 40 percent of their benefits to the wealthiest one percent of American households (households that, today, have an annual income of more than $300,000). His article is filled with so many demonstrably inaccurate or untrue assertions that it is difficult to know where to begin.

But, let's start. Garthoffner suggests that the Republican Party stands for economic policies that are fair. Under the Bush Tax Cuts of 2001 and 2003, the amount of money going to the wealthiest one percent of households is greater than the amount of money going to the entire poorest 70 percent of American households (households with annual incomes up to approximately $75,000) combined. These data come from two reports by the Citizens for Tax Justice: (1) "Year-by-Year Analysis of the Bush Tax Cuts Shows Growing Tilt to the Very Rich," June 12, 2002; (2) "Final Tax Plan Tilts Even More Toward Richest," May 22, 2003 (both can be found at www.ctj.org). Similar estimates can also be obtained from the Congressional Budget Office. Furthermore, when Garthoffner calculates the percentage of federal taxes paid by various income groups, he only examines the income tax. If he included federal payroll taxes (Social Security and Medicare) he would find that a much greater percentage of the federal tax burden is borne by low and middle-income earners.

Garthoffner indicates that the Republican Party stands for economic policies that have been proven historically. Yes, tax cuts help an economy in a recession, provided they are targeted to the middle and lower income groups who spend the money and stimulate aggregate demand. Since the rich save more, and spend less, of each dollar they receive in tax cuts than do middle and low income individuals, tax cuts to the rich have less impact on the demand for goods and services than tax cuts going to middle and low income individuals. Since the 2001 and 2003 Bush Tax Cuts were enacted, the economy has lost more than two million jobs. Better targeting of the cuts to middle and low income families would have either produced a gain in jobs, or a smaller loss, than under the Bush Tax Cuts.

Garthoffner further points out that Ronald Reagan's tax cuts in 1981, the largest in U.S. history, substantially increased federal tax revenues. Unfortunately what Garthoffner omits is that the Reagan administration was forced to raise taxes several times during this period. Historically, only about 30 percent of a tax cut is "self-financing" (i.e., the increased economic activity resulting from the tax cut only replaces about 30 percent of the revenue lost from the tax cut). Additionally, the growth rate of the economy was smaller during the Reagan years than it was during the Clinton years, even though Clinton raised taxes on the same high income groups that have received such large tax cuts from the Bush administration.

Concerning California, Garthoffner notes that California has one of the highest state tax rates in the country. California ranks 10th in personal income but 19th in state and local tax burdens. Wealthier states can better afford higher tax burdens than poorer states. Thus, while a state and local tax burden ranked 19th highest is slightly above average, it is not as high as one would expect given the state's wealth. Today, California is best classified as a moderately high tax/high service state. Furthermore, California's level of service is not always that "high." Concerning education, California ranks approximately 40th in per student expenditures (i.e., approximately 40 of the 50 states spend more per student on K-12 education than does California).

From 1979 to 1999, after adjusting for inflation, the income of the poorest 20 percent of American households increased by 2.8 percent, for families in the middle of the income distribution the corresponding figure was approximately 10 percent while the inflation adjusted income of the wealthiest 1 percent of households -- whom Garthoffner is so concerned are "over taxed" -- increased by approximately 157 percent (i.e., more than 50 times the rate of the poorest 20 percent and about 15 times the rate of middle income households - see Paul Krugman, "For Richer," New York Times, Oct. 22, 2002). In the face of such glaring, and increasing inequalities, the Bush administration is willing to spend almost four times as much money ($350 billion over ten years versus $89 billion over ten years) on the permanent repeal of the estate tax (which applies only to estates of over $1,000,000) as it is to help the 43.5 million Americans (80 percent of whom are in households with at least one full time worker) without medical insurance obtain it. We would like to hear the president explain to hard working, low income families why we should spend four times as much money to relieve the estate tax burden of wealthy heirs (who receive their inheritance through the mere accident of birth) rather than help low income workers provide health insurance for their families.

Chris Dennis is a professor of political science and Marshall Medoff is a professor of economics at Cal State Long Beach.

 

 


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