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Parties
hinge on Green votes
Chris
Ledermuller
Vice President
Al Gore's campaign for president recognizes Ralph
Nader's Green Party candidacy as a threat.
The Democrats
are urging voters to stay away from Nader because
the party would lose enough votes to put Republican
candidate George W. Bush in the White House.
Nader voters,
primarily environmentalists or concerned anti-globalists,
face a sad dilemma.
They must
either forego their preferred choice to elect Gore
to stave off a Bush presidency or vote for Nader and
risk a Republican taking over the White House.
The situation
is even sadder considering what voters might have
to give up.
The Democrats
and Republicans are forcing voters to choose between
a liar and an idiot for the presidency. Meanwhile,
Nader, who devoted most of his adult life to tireless
advocacy for consumer safety, the environment and
a fair political system, is only taken seriously because
of how many votes he'll snag from Gore.
For those
Nader voters who are still unsure about punching his
name in the voting booth on Tuesday, take a chance
and vote for him. Don't resort to voting for the lesser
of two evils when non-evil alternatives are available.
If a Nader vote means an unsettling future, here are
a few things to consider.
If Bush
ekes out a victory on Tuesday, he cannot rule by fiat
if he is president. The United States has a system
of checks and balances, and Bush has to go through
Congress to implement policy changes.
Vote for
Nader, but hedge bets by supporting Democrats for
the Senate and House of Representatives. This way,
if Democrats have a congressional majority, Bush would
have a tough time fulfilling campaign promises.
In the
House this year, the Democrats only need to win seven
races just to get a one-seat majority over the Republicans.
In the Senate, the Democrats need to win five races
for a majority, but party ratios are not expected
to drastically change.
The threats
of Bush rolling back environmental protections, giving
tax breaks to America's upper class, and packing the
Supreme Court with justices who will nullify abortions
and civil rights laws can be quelled if the executive
and legislative branches are split between the Republicans
and Democrats.
As for
the people who inevitably will desert Nader for Gore
just to avoid a Bush presidency, they should also
expect a four-year ride of disappointment.
These Nader
expatriates might expect Gore to be grateful for their
votes if he wins, making the Democratic Party's platform
sound like the Green Party's. Sorry, but it won't
happen.
Nader's
candidacy, for all the attention it has received,
is only attracting about four percent of likely voters.
In the
grand scheme of things, four percent is not significant,
but is just enough for Gore to win the White House.
Once elected,
Gore has no incentive to help the Greens. After all,
what sense does it make to shape policy around a handful
of voters?
Plus, Gore
is not going to snag all of the Green Party's votes.
If Gore gets half the votes, those "Green Democrats"
will have an even weaker voice. Gore can always corner
these voters by making "me or the GOP" threats.
There is
also another political future at stake in this election:
Nader's. If voters stand by him, Nader might be able
to garner the 5 percentage points needed for the Green
Party to qualify for federal public campaign financing.
This year's elections can determine just how far the
Greens can go four years from now.
Not only
is there a good reason to vote for Nader this election
in relation to the outcomes of the two major parties,
but Tuesday's race is also important to the future
of Nader's legacy.
Chris
Ledermuller is a staff writer for the Daily Forty-Niner.
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