Third
parties starting to gain support
By Sé
J. Reed
Daily Forty-Niner
Third parties
are not a new phenomenon.
Recently,
however, a handful of third parties have been getting
a lot of attention. Supporters of the Green Party
and its candidate Ralph Nader, for instance, were
a significant minority at the Democratic National
Convention.
Many protesters
outside the convention and at the nearby Shadow Convention
prominently sported green buttons proclaiming "Nader
& LaDuke in 2000."
The Reform
Party made big headlines, at least in Southern California,
with its recent convention in Long Beach that marked
candidate Pat Buchanan's controversial split from
the party.
And the
Libertarian Party, who hosted an August convention
in Anaheim, contentedly announced that its candidate,
Harry Browne, will appear on the ballot in all 50
states, making it the first third party to ever do
so for three consecutive presidential elections.
So does
this mark the beginning of the end for the traditional
two-party system that has been the hallmark of American
politics?
No way,
said Dr. A.J. Stevens, a political science professor
at Cal State Long Beach.
"Third
parties come and go," Stevens said. "In
certain times they're really important, then they
disappear."
Fed up
with the system and the big money that seems to control
the current political process, third parties are becoming
more high profile and appearing on more, if not all,
ballots.
But even
so, most third parties aren't thinking about Washington
D.C., they're thinking about Boston.
Boston
is the first host city for the presidential debates,
and a major goal for third parties is to get their
candidates included. According to the
Green Party
web site, the selection criteria for the debates are
based on "unfair criteria that would exclude
Ralph [Nader]'s participation in a forum that up to
100 million Americans watch each presidential election
year to make a determination about whether to vote
and for whom."
The problem,
Stevens explained, is the Commission on Presidential
Debates, which is composed of former Republican and
Democratic National Convention chairpersons.
The commission
changed the criteria for participation in January
of this year. Participants are now required to have
at least 15 percent support in public opinion polls.
The commission
uses an average of five public opinion polls to determine
eligibility: ABC News/Washington Post, CBS News/New
York Times, NBC News/Wall Street Journal, CNN/USA
Today/Gallup, and Fox News/Opinion Dynamics.
In three
of the five polls, Nader averages 4.33 percent support.
He has six percent support in the CBS News/New York
Times poll, four percent in the ABC news poll, and
three percent in the CNN/USA Today/Gallup poll.
Pat Buchanan,
the fourth name included in most polls, had an average
of 2.33 percent in those same three polls.
July legislation
introduced by Rep. Jesse L. Jackson Jr. (D-Illinois)
proposes to lower the required percentage to five
percent.
This would
mirror other election requirements, such as the federal
regulation that grants federal campaign funding if
a candidate has five percent support in the national
polls.
But even
getting into the debates does not give the candidates
much of a shot at winning. The reason, Stevens said,
is the Electoral College.
Because
of the Electoral College, the presidential candidate
is not elected by popular vote.
Instead,
the candidate who wins the majority vote in a state
wins that state's entire electoral vote.
That means
a candidate has to get a majority vote in a majority
of the states, or at least the states with the most
electoral votes.
But even
if the presidential was a popular vote, Stevens said,
a third party victory is unlikely. That is not to
say, however, that third parties lack major support.
Prior to
the founding of the Republican Party, there was no
two-party system. The United States has had presidents
from numerous political parties, including the Federalists
(George Washington, Thomas Jefferson) and the Whigs
(William Harrison, Zachary Taylor).
Third parties
have even had major showings in recent history. In
1968, George Wallace, under the American Independent
Party, won 46 electoral votes.
In 1912
the Progressive Party won 88 electoral votes with
candidate Teddy Roosevelt, who had been elected president
in 1904 as a Republican.
A recent
notable exception is Ross Perot, who ran for president
on an independent ticket in 1992, winning 19 percent
of the popular vote, but no electoral votes.
Even with
the growing third-party movements, Stevens doesn't
think that the United States will again become a three-party
system.
"Our
country is huge, with a diverse population. We are
very heterogeneous." Stevens said. "If you
had too many parties, it'd be difficult to run the
country."
But even
though their chances are slim, Stevens still thinks
that third parties play an important role in American
politics, by bringing attention to important but low
profile issues.
In the
late 1800s, for example, women's suffrage was brought
to the public's attention by the Prohibition and Socialist
Parties. In 1916, it was incorporated into the Republican
and Democrat platforms, leading to the 19th Amendment
in 1920.
This year,
Stevens said, the influence of third party issues
was obvious at the Democratic National Convention.
A major
plank of third party platforms, and a top issue at
the Shadow Convention, was campaign finance reform
and the first thing Gore said he was going to do was
sign the McCain-Feingold bill that introduces campaign
finance reform, Stevens said.
"When
ideas receive enough popular support, the major parties
will incorporate those issues into their platform."
|