READING ASSIGNMENT:

"Percentages," in Hans Zeisel, Say It With Figures(N.Y.: Harper & Row, 1968), pp. 15-27.

The Problem

"A Democratic presidential nominee received an absolute majority of the popular vote only twice from 1948 to 1976, and only once was there a decisive Democratic victory--Johnson's in 1964. Adding up all of the presidential votes cast from 1948 through 1976, one sees the Republicans actually leading the Democrats, 271 million to 256 million. It is not surprising, considering this, that the presidential coalitions came to differ very substantially from those formed in other contests."
[see: Everett Carll Ladd, "Shifting Coalitions--1930s to 1970s", p. 135.]

Has the election of President Clinton in 1992 and his re-election in 1996 helped to restore the Democratic coalition in American politics?

To answer this question, compare the Democratic vote in the 1988, 1992, and 1996 presidential elections.

If the elections of Bill Clinton represent a restoration of the New Deal majority, we would expect to see:

  1. a majority of the popular vote going to Bill Clinton; or
  2. a substantial increase in the percentage of votes cast for the Democratic candidate betwen 1988 and 1996.


OBJECTIVES:

The objectives of this assignment are:
  1. to read a codebook;
  2. to open a SPSS system file;
  3. to generate a frequency distribution;
  4. to present data in a table; and,
  5. to write about data.


ASSIGNMENT

  1. Select two variables: presidential vote, and party identification from three presidential elections (i.e., 1988, 1992, and 1996) as dependent variables.
  2. generate a frequency distribution for each presidential election;
  3. organize the data into a table for presidential vote and a table for party identification;
  4. write a brief paper describing your findings based upon your data explaining the changes in presidential vote and party identification you see over those three elections.




Sample Table

Table 1
Presidential Vote by Party, 1976 and 1980
PARTY19761980
Democratic50.2%39.4%
Republican47.950.8
Other1.99.8
TOTAL100.0%100.0%
(N) (1663)(972)


Elements of a Table

  1. Each table has a TABLE NUMBER (using arabic numerals).
  2. Each table has a TITLE that describes the data presented.
  3. Rows and Columns are labeled.
  4. Use percentages in the table--DO NOT report frequencies. Use a % sign in the first row of data ONLY, and in the TOTAL row.
  5. Include a row for TOTAL which shows 100.0% so the reader of your table knows what type of percentages you are using.
  6. Include a row for (N) to report the total number of cases in each column; use parentheses to distinguish the "number" from percentages.


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