Spring 2012 Enrollment Planning Update
December 5 , 2011
What has Changed Since the October 12 Update:
- We now expect only about 800-900 new transfer students to enroll. This is lower than our earlier forecast because the application pool was smaller and weaker than anticipated. Other CSU campuses are reporting the same. This transfer decline may be due to:
- Reduced backlog as we took large transfer classes in the last Fall and Spring cycles, and
- Community colleges possibly having some pipeline issues due to their budget cuts.
- The transfer decline does not appear to be related to fee increases because Fall 2012 applications are up substantially (see below).
- We anticipate a total headcount of about 32,400 students, about 2% below last Spring. This is less than the earlier forecast due to the downturn in transfers.
- Nearly all continuing students have had a chance to register.
What Hasn’t Changed:
- Open to transfer, post-baccalaureate and graduate admissions.
- Closed to freshmen and second bachelor’s students.
- Moderate admissions criteria for impacted programs.
- About 450 graduate and post-baccalaureate students expected.
- No penalty to campuses as long as they remain in the range of -2% to +3% of resident enrollment target.
- Adequate funding to fully support classes students need to make progress to degree, despite the anticipated mid-year cut.
- We do not have resources for non-essential classes.
- Our enrollment priorities (featured under Enrollment Planning Resources at right). Nothing is more central to our mission than ensuring we provide the classes students need to graduate.
What we ask Enrollment Managers, Schedulers
and Chairs to do:
- Please aim for aggregate course fill rates in the 85 to 95 percent range, especially in multi-section courses. Lower fill rates in multi-section courses may indicate opportunity for greater efficiency. Higher fill rates indicate that student needs are not being met adequately.
- Review continuing student enrollments and wait lists.
- Run CSLink LBSR0854 - New Undergraduates Intending to Matriculate to determine how many new transfers you can expect to register in January.
- Review class offerings against the newly revised Interactive Enrollment Planning Report projections to determine whether remaining seats will meet the needs of new transfer students and address any projected shortages and overages of seats.
- Submit all changes necessary to Enrollment Services, prior to December 23, in readiness for transfer Student Orientation and Registration (SOAR) in early January.
Fall Enrollment Early Update:
- The application period for Fall 2012 closed at the end of November. Both transfer and freshman applications are up and the overall increase is nearly 10%, a large increase.
- Chances are we will be growing enrollment for next fall, but final decisions won’t be made until January.
Enrollment Planning Resources
- Courses students need immediately to meet graduation requirements.
- In fall and spring terms, full schedules of classes for recently admitted first-time freshmen.
- Major, General Education, prerequisite and service courses that students need to make progress to degree with pent up unmet demand and greater than 95% fill rate in recent prior terms.
- Other high demand major, General Education, and service courses that students need to make progress to degree that are high demand (80-95% fill rate in recent prior terms).
- Other courses that students need to make progress to degree as resources permit.